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Who We Are
Who We Are
Is there such a thing as good debt? What do you suppose bad debt is? And
what kind do you have? Debt |
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In other words, the days of double digit expectations are over. Now the word is balance. This downplay of expectations is not part of full disclosure but merely after party pledges to not drink to excess in a market whose hangover lasted more than two years. There is little likelihood that returns on either stock or bond funds will break out of this single digit range, most notably when inflation is adjusted into the return.
Pay no attention to any recent runs in the market. Disregard anyone who tells you that the recovery will spill over into the stock or the bond market. There is no group of economist, analysts, or market mavens that has a firm handle on what will happen next. Growth defeated by earnings ruffled by world unrest and tripped by less than encouraging numbers are going to keep this market side stepping any real returns.
If you had invested $1,000 in a portfolio that was split 60/40 between stocks from the S&P 500 and long term U.S. government bonds in 1990, the value of that portfolio would be over $3,700. But this period was not the historic average by any means. Historic averages of the years preceding 1990 would have valued the same investment at $2,500.
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